Leipzig have shown little mercy to the sides struggling at the bottom in recent weeks, and a similar story could play out this weekend against another.
The 8-1 loss at Bayern three weeks ago will still linger in the memory despite the win over Bochum that followed, and Mainz will just hope they do not suffer the same fate this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
