SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.37%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 20.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | RB Leipzig |
59.37% ( 0.43) | 20.2% ( -0.19) | 20.43% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.57) | 34.34% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.75% ( 0.65) | 56.25% ( -0.64) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( 0.3) | 11.38% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.9% ( 0.64) | 36.11% ( -0.63) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( 0.12) | 29.89% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( 0.14) | 65.99% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 20.43% |
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