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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
H

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Heidenheim

Openda (29' pen.), Poulsen (44')
Simakan (60'), Baumgartner (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gimber (45+2')
Pieringer (59'), Schmidt (60'), Gimber (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Heidenheim

Having lost two of their last three league games, Leipzig will be determined to return to winning ways and give themselves a chance of returning to the Champions League qualification spots. Heidenheim have struggled on the road since gaining their first ever promotion to the Bundesliga, although their excellent efforts at Dortmund and Bayern will give them hope of causing a major upset. We can envisage them scoring but falling to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHeidenheim
70.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 15.76%13.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.75% (0.02000000000001 0.02)26.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.46% (0.024999999999999 0.02)46.53% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.45% (0.010999999999996 0.01)24.55% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (0.021999999999991 0.02)32.56% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (0.024000000000001 0.02)69.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 70.99%
    Heidenheim 13.24%
    Draw 15.76%
RB LeipzigDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.66%
5-2 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 70.99%
1-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 13.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 3-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, November 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Heidenheim
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-5 Augsburg
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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