SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.32% ( 0.07) | 21.46% ( -0.02) | 29.21% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 67.93% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.84% ( 0.05) | 31.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.42% ( 0.05) | 52.57% ( -0.05) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( 0.04) | 13.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.05% ( 0.08) | 39.95% ( -0.08) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( -0.01) | 21.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( -0.01) | 54.9% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 29.21% |
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