SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heracles in this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
32.18% ( -3.18) | 23.75% ( -0.02) | 44.06% ( 3.19) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.18% ( -0.86) | 40.81% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( -0.88) | 63.2% ( 0.87) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -2.2) | 24.73% ( 2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( -3.17) | 59.28% ( 3.16) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 1.03) | 18.81% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( 1.7) | 50.24% ( -1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.46)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.64)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.36)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.46)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.06% |
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