SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
46.57% ( 0.92) | 24.44% ( 0.06) | 28.99% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( -0.82) | 45.55% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% ( -0.79) | 67.88% ( 0.79) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.06) | 19.66% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( 0.09) | 51.64% ( -0.09) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( -1.09) | 29.15% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.91% ( -1.37) | 65.09% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.99% |
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