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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
WL

Excelsior
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Horemans (28')
de Moes (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk

Excelsior have been abysmal of late, to say the least, and Waalwijk will be looking to heap more misery on their hosts. However, we can see the teams cancelling each other to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
46.57% (0.921 0.92) 24.44% (0.064 0.06) 28.99% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)45.55% (0.824 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12% (-0.789 -0.79)67.88% (0.789 0.79)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.057000000000002 0.06)19.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)51.64% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (-1.093 -1.09)29.15% (1.093 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (-1.368 -1.37)65.09% (1.368 1.37)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 46.57%
    RKC Waalwijk 28.99%
    Draw 24.44%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 5-2 Excelsior
Sunday, March 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 4-2 Excelsior
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, February 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Excelsior
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-1 Sittard
Saturday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, February 18 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Nijmegen
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie


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