Waalwijk and Heracles have endured underwhelming campaigns this season and find themselves separated by just two points in the bottom half of the table. The Heraclieden have struggled for results on the road and we predict the hosts will make use of their home advantage and claim a slender win in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
3.29) 
-1.42) 
