SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
33.86% ( -0.27) | 23.67% ( 0.01) | 42.47% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 62.07% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.14) | 39.83% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -0.15) | 62.19% ( 0.15) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.22) | 23.29% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% ( -0.32) | 57.23% ( 0.32) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.05) | 19.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% ( 0.09) | 50.7% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 42.47% |
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