SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
33.1% ( -0.15) | 23.6% ( 0.05) | 43.3% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.06% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( -0.29) | 39.73% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( -0.31) | 62.08% ( 0.3) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( -0.23) | 23.68% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.21% ( -0.32) | 57.78% ( 0.32) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( -0.08) | 18.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.96% ( -0.13) | 50.03% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.1% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 43.3% |
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