SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 1-2 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
77.33% ( 0.13) | 13.49% ( -0.13) | 9.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.27% ( 0.78) | 26.73% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.98) | 47.15% ( -0.98) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.4% ( 0.19) | 5.6% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.25% ( 0.53) | 21.75% ( -0.52) |
| Trinidad and Tobago Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% ( 0.63) | 39.55% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.77% ( 0.58) | 76.23% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
| 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.07)Other @ 5.3% Total : 77.33% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.49% | 1-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.17% |
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