SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Honduras |
52.72% ( 0.09) | 25.09% ( -0.06) | 22.19% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.48% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% ( 0.2) | 53.58% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( 0.17) | 75.09% ( -0.18) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( 0.12) | 20.32% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( 0.19) | 52.7% ( -0.19) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% ( 0.09) | 39.15% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( 0.09) | 75.87% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Salvador | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.71% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 22.19% |
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