SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huesca | Draw | Castellon |
43.15% ( -0.69) | 27.08% ( 0.07) | 29.77% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% ( -0.02) | 56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( -0.02) | 77.09% ( 0.02) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0.36) | 25.72% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( -0.49) | 60.64% ( 0.5) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.47) | 33.98% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( 0.5) | 70.66% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huesca | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.14% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.77% |
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