SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Granada |
43.33% ( 0.44) | 26.99% ( 0.09) | 29.68% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.56) | 55.68% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.46) | 76.83% ( 0.46) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.03) | 25.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( -0.04) | 60.32% ( 0.04) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( -0.69) | 33.88% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( -0.75) | 70.55% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.68% |
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