SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Castellon |
48.34% ( -1.58) | 26.33% ( 0.43) | 25.34% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.23% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( -0.73) | 55.58% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( -0.6) | 76.75% ( 0.6) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -1.01) | 23.03% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( -1.51) | 56.84% ( 1.51) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( 0.63) | 37.35% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( 0.62) | 74.13% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.33% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.34% |
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