Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Aguilas had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Aguilas win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Castellon in this match.
