SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.89%), while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Huesca |
49.44% ( -0.22) | 29.49% ( 0) | 21.07% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 36.54% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.62% ( 0.14) | 68.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.82% ( 0.09) | 86.18% ( -0.09) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.04) | 28.36% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0.05) | 64.1% ( 0.05) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.33) | 48.99% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.05% ( 0.23) | 83.95% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Huesca |
| 1-0 @ 17.51% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.4% Total : 49.44% | 0-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 21.07% |
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