Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.89%), while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
-0.22) 
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