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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 41.46% | 25.77% ( 0.2) | 32.76% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.92) | 49.75% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.83) | 71.76% ( 0.83) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.41) | 23.78% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( -0.58) | 57.93% ( 0.58) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.58) | 28.71% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( -0.73) | 64.54% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.76% |
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