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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Inter Miami |
50.13% ( 0.44) | 22.27% ( 0.23) | 27.61% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 63.56% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.66% ( -1.61) | 36.34% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.53% ( -1.79) | 58.47% ( 1.79) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( -0.43) | 14.82% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.89% ( -0.84) | 43.11% ( 0.84) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( -1.26) | 25.39% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( -1.77) | 60.2% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.25% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.61% |
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