SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
60.87% ( 0.75) | 22.14% ( -0.12) | 16.99% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% ( -0.51) | 48.58% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.3% ( -0.47) | 70.7% ( 0.47) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( 0.08) | 15.5% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.61% ( 0.14) | 44.39% ( -0.14) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% ( -1.08) | 42% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.56% ( -0.95) | 78.44% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.99% |
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