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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
IL

Monza
1 - 5
Inter Milan

Pessina (69' pen.)
Colpani (5'), Birindelli (70')
Palladino (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (12' pen., 60'), Martinez (14', 84' pen.), Thuram (88')
Calhanoglu (58'), Pavard (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 0-2 Inter Milan

Inter have scored in 27 consecutive Serie A matches - their last goalless league game incidentally came versus Monza, in April 2023 - and that streak should continue. The Nerazzurri can sign off for their sojourn to Saudi Arabia with another win, putting the pressure on closest challengers Juventus to respond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawInter Milan
27.04% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 25.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 47.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)49.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)32.83% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.106 -0.11)69.39% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 27.04%
    Inter Milan 47.8%
    Draw 25.15%
MonzaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.04%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Monza
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Fiorentina
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Monza
Sunday, December 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 6 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League


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