SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.93%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Lecce |
71.62% ( 0.2) | 18.91% ( -0.11) | 9.47% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 38.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.19) | 51.59% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.17) | 73.38% ( -0.17) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% ( 0.12) | 13.13% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.22% ( 0.23) | 39.78% ( -0.24) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.07) | 56.03% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.51% ( -0.04) | 88.49% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-0 @ 15.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 14.93% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 71.61% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.91% | 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 9.47% |
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