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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
IL

Lazio
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Immobile (64' pen.), Anderson (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+1')
Basic (27'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Anderson (83')
Felipe (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perisic (12' pen.)
Gagliardini (36'), Bastoni (63'), Martinez (83'), Dumfries (83'), Correa (87'), Darmian (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawInter Milan
31.99%24.11%43.89%
Both teams to score 59.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42%42.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01%64.98%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3%25.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38%60.61%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45%51.54%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 31.99%
    Inter Milan 43.89%
    Draw 24.11%
LazioDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 7.58%
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.99%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-1 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 43.89%

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