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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
HV

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Martinez (13'), Frattesi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Henry (74')
Coppola (77'), Suslov (78')
Lazovic (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Salernitana
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Hellas Verona

Recent history and current form are both in Inter's favour ahead of their Saturday lunchtime meeting with lowly Verona, who lack punch in attack and are flimsy at the back. Therefore, the Scudetto favourites should summarily take care of business. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 7.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 3-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawHellas Verona
76.58% (0.129 0.13) 15.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 7.66% (-0.1439 -0.14)
Both teams to score 40.22% (-0.729 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (-0.587 -0.59)44.1% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.51% (-0.574 -0.57)66.48% (0.57299999999999 0.57)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.29% (-0.116 -0.12)9.71% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.64% (-0.271 -0.27)32.36% (0.27 0.27)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.54% (-0.75 -0.75)55.45% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.85% (-0.447 -0.45)88.15% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 76.57%
    Hellas Verona 7.66%
    Draw 15.76%
Inter MilanDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 14.64% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 11.38% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 6.63% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 76.57%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.55% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 15.76%
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 7.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Udinese
Saturday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Salernitana
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Cagliari
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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