Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.