Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
-0.27) 
0.18) 
