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G
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
F

Gremio
3 - 1
Fortaleza

Aravena (13'), Braithwaite (60'), Soteldo (90+1')
Pedro (86'), Moreira (88')
Da Silva (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hercules (18')
Mancuso (35'), Martin Lucero (69'), Kuscevic (90+4')
Mancuso (80')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Gremio
Sunday, September 29 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawFortaleza
50.71% (0.154 0.15) 25.76% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08) 23.52% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (0.248 0.25)54.86% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.205 0.2)76.16% (-0.208 -0.21)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32% (0.169 0.17)21.67% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (0.259 0.26)54.81% (-0.263 -0.26)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (0.07 0.07)38.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (0.067 0.07)75.34% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 50.71%
    Fortaleza 23.52%
    Draw 25.75%
GremioDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Gremio
Sunday, September 29 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Criciuma
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Gremio
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 0-1 Gremio
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 22 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro


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