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G
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
F

Gremio
3 - 2
Flamengo

Cristaldo (12'), Braithwaite (55'), Costa (83')
Pedro (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Goncalves (25'), Gabriel Cunha Teresa (90')
Moises de Lima (58')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Gremio
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawFlamengo
33.33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 27.31% (0.00099999999999767 0) 39.36% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (-0.012 -0.01)76.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)67.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 33.32%
    Flamengo 39.36%
    Draw 27.31%
GremioDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Gremio
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 0-1 Gremio
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Gremio (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 20 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bahia
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Fluminense
Tuesday, August 13 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bragantino
Monday, August 26 at 12am in Brasileiro


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