Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
-0.19) 
0.22) 
