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B
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
2 - 0
Vitoria

Ribeiro (15'), Luciano (90+7')
Alerrandro (49'), Alexandre (81'), Yago (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Esteves (45+3'), Kanu (49'), Carpini (53'), Santos de Alcantara (82'), Oliveira (87')
Carpini (54')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 7 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vitoria 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, August 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawVitoria
64.58% (-1.145 -1.15) 21.14% (0.637 0.64) 14.27% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-1.603 -1.6)49.37% (1.597 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (-1.462 -1.46)71.42% (1.455 1.46)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)14.57% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (-1.688 -1.69)42.63% (1.682 1.68)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-0.232 -0.23)46.15% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.15% (-0.182 -0.18)81.84% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 64.58%
    Vitoria 14.27%
    Draw 21.14%
BahiaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 12.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.86% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 64.58%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.276 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 3.87% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 14.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 7 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Bahia
Wednesday, July 31 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, July 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Bahia
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, August 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Vitoria
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Vitoria
Sunday, July 21 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Vitoria
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro


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