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Scottish Championship Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
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Inverness
2 - 3
Hamilton

Kerr (31'), Samuel (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-3)
O'Hara (8', 41' pen.), Smith (12')
Tumilty (43'), Williamson (51'), Martin (82')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Final clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 Inverness
Wednesday, May 15 at 8.05pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawHamilton Academical
40.52% (0.736 0.74) 25.62% (0.371 0.37) 33.86% (-1.11 -1.11)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-1.507 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-1.844 -1.84)48.84% (1.841 1.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06% (-1.695 -1.7)70.93% (1.692 1.69)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)23.85% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (-0.63999999999999 -0.64)58.04% (0.638 0.64)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-1.55 -1.55)27.58% (1.546 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-2.038 -2.04)63.1% (2.036 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.52%
    Hamilton Academical 33.86%
    Draw 25.62%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.332 0.33)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.483 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.272 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 Inverness
Wednesday, May 15 at 8.05pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Montrose 0-0 Inverness
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Inverness 3-1 Morton
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Raith Rovers
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 Inverness
Wednesday, May 15 at 8.05pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Hamilton 3-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Hamilton
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Hamilton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Hamilton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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