SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
43.65% ( -0.42) | 24.69% ( -0.07) | 31.66% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( 0.52) | 45.37% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( 0.49) | 67.71% ( -0.48) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( 0.03) | 20.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( 0.04) | 53.56% ( -0.04) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( 0.57) | 27.27% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( 0.74) | 62.7% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.66% |
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