Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
46.73% ( 0.2) | 24.75% ( -0.07) | 28.52% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% ( 0.21) | 47.17% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% ( 0.19) | 69.4% ( -0.19) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% ( 0.17) | 20.25% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.41% ( 0.27) | 52.59% ( -0.27) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( 0.01) | 30.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( 0.01) | 66.49% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.52% |
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