SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
52.56% ( -1.51) | 22.82% ( 0.52) | 24.62% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( -1.4) | 41.59% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( -1.44) | 64% ( 1.43) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( -1.01) | 15.87% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% ( -1.89) | 45.08% ( 1.88) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( 0.04) | 30.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( 0.05) | 66.56% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.99% Total : 24.62% |
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