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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
3 - 0
Hatayspor

Crespo (56'), Piatek (83'), Paulin Keny (90+4')
Opoku (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parmak (85'), Kilama (90+1'), Fernandes (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 4-1 Goztepe SK
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Besiktas
Monday, December 2 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Hatayspor

Even during their struggles, Basaksehir remained resilient on home soil, and it is no coincidence that their winless run ended with a home win. The hosts will be too strong for the visitors who have been poor, especially on the road, which is why we are predicting a win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHatayspor
60.49% (-1.468 -1.47) 22.26% (0.546 0.55) 17.25% (0.929 0.93)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.21 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.71 -0.71)48.67% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.648 -0.65)70.78% (0.655 0.66)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.714 -0.71)15.65% (0.722 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-1.345 -1.35)44.68% (1.352 1.35)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (0.742 0.74)41.73% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (0.643 0.64)78.2% (-0.634 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 60.49%
    Hatayspor 17.25%
    Draw 22.26%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.324 -0.32)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 60.49%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.277 0.28)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.203 0.2)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 17.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Istanbul 4-1 Goztepe SK
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-1 Petrocub
Wednesday, November 27 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Gaziantep 3-0 Istanbul
Saturday, November 23 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 0-0 Besiktas
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-2 Istanbul
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Konyaspor 3-2 Istanbul
Sunday, November 3 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Besiktas
Monday, December 2 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, November 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Gaziantep
Saturday, November 9 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Eyupspor 2-0 Hatayspor
Sunday, November 3 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-1 Kayserispor
Saturday, October 26 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 3-2 Hatayspor
Sunday, October 20 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig


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