Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
Result | ||
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Hatayspor |
60.49% ( -1.47) | 22.26% ( 0.55) | 17.25% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.34% ( -0.71) | 48.67% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.22% ( -0.65) | 70.78% ( 0.66) |
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.35% ( -0.71) | 15.65% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.32% ( -1.35) | 44.68% ( 1.35) |
Hatayspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.27% ( 0.74) | 41.73% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.8% ( 0.64) | 78.2% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Hatayspor |
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 60.49% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.25% |
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