SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
30.12% ( -0.16) | 26.3% ( 0.06) | 43.58% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( -0.3) | 52.84% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( -0.25) | 74.46% ( 0.26) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.27) | 32.08% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.31) | 68.55% ( 0.31) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.08) | 24.09% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( -0.11) | 58.38% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.12% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.57% |
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