Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
37.35% ( 0.05)	27.63% ( -0.03)	35.02% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.88% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.11% (

0.1)

56.89% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

0.08)

77.81% (

-0.08)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64% (

0.08)

29.36% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

0.1)

65.34% (

-0.1)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

0.03)

30.81% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

0.04)

67.08% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 37.35%

Avispa Fukuoka 35.01%

Draw 27.63%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.35%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.01%