J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
With the stakes high ahead of this contest, we do not expect either side to be particularly attacking. There is an argument that they would each take a point if it was offered to them beforehand, leading us to back a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result |
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Jubilo Iwata |
40.93% ( -0.02) | 24.43% ( 0) | 34.64% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( -0.02) |
| 56.73% ( -0.03) | 43.27% ( 0.03) |
| 34.33% ( -0.03) | 65.66% ( 0.03) |
| 78.77% ( -0.02) | 21.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.88% ( -0.03) | 54.12% ( 0.03) |
| 75.53% ( -0.01) | 24.46% ( 0) |
