Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
21.52% ( -0.02)	28.1% ( -0.05)	50.39% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 40.02% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.78% (

0.14)

64.22% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.66% (

0.1)

83.34% (

-0.1)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54% (

0.06)

46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.28% (

0.04)

81.72% (

-0.04)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

0.11)

25.9% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11% (

0.14)

60.89% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 21.52%

Machida Zelvia 50.38%

Draw 28.09%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.52%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.09%	0-1 @ 16.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 50.38%