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J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 at 10am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
4 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Nakayama (4'), Lima (29'), Fujimoto (45+2'), Fujio (57' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Hilo (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawJubilo Iwata
46.89% (0.815 0.81) 26.91% (-0.035 -0.04) 26.21% (-0.777 -0.78)
Both teams to score 47.31% (-0.47 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (-0.319 -0.32)57.13% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (-0.255 -0.26)78% (0.258 0.26)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.252 0.25)24.37% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.353 0.35)58.78% (-0.349 -0.35)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.83 -0.83)37.45% (0.83300000000001 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.825 -0.83)74.23% (0.82899999999999 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 46.89%
    Jubilo Iwata 26.21%
    Draw 26.9%
Machida ZelviaDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.89%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 26.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, August 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-2 Reims
Wednesday, July 31 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Jubilo Iwata
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Reims
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 5-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League


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