Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.35) 
