Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
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