SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | FC Koln |
31.25% ( 0.07) | 23.73% ( 0.11) | 45.01% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.75% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.5) | 41.09% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.51% ( -0.52) | 63.48% ( 0.5) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( -0.28) | 60.24% ( 0.27) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( -0.28) | 18.52% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.23% ( -0.47) | 49.76% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.25% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.52% Total : 45.01% |
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