SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | FC Koln |
44.01% ( -0.11) | 23.43% ( -0.02) | 32.56% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.17) | 39.12% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( 0.18) | 61.44% ( -0.18) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( 0.02) | 18.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( 0.04) | 49.12% ( -0.04) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( 0.16) | 23.69% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.22) | 57.81% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 44.01% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.56% |
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