SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Schalke 04 |
44.15% ( 0.06) | 23.8% | 32.05% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.01) | 41.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.53% ( -0.01) | 63.46% ( 0.01) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( 0.02) | 18.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% ( 0.04) | 50.35% ( -0.04) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.04) | 24.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( -0.06) | 59.56% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.05% |
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