SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Nuremberg |
46.77% ( 0.79) | 22.48% ( 0.31) | 30.75% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 65.09% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( -2.12) | 35.28% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( -2.39) | 57.3% ( 2.4) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( -0.53) | 15.59% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.44% ( -0.99) | 44.56% ( 0.99) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -1.65) | 22.89% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -2.5) | 56.64% ( 2.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.05% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.75% |
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