Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.