Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
