Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Karlsruher SC | Draw | Nuremberg |
43.77% ( -0.31) | 24.53% ( -0.17) | 31.69% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.36% ( 0.95) | 44.63% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33% ( 0.91) | 67% ( -0.91) |
Karlsruher SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( 0.26) | 20.5% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.01% ( 0.41) | 52.98% ( -0.41) |
Nuremberg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( 0.77) | 26.88% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% ( 1) | 62.2% ( -1) |
Score Analysis |
Karlsruher SC | Draw | Nuremberg |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.69% |
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