Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
-0.31) 
0.47) 
