SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 41%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
33.69% ( 0.51) | 25.3% ( 0.05) | 41% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( -0.1) | 47.48% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( -0.09) | 69.69% ( 0.09) |
| Karpaty Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( 0.26) | 27.02% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( 0.34) | 62.38% ( -0.34) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.32) | 23.01% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( -0.47) | 56.82% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 41% |
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