SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
26.67% ( -0.21) | 24.41% ( -0.03) | 48.91% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.04) | 46.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.04) | 69.2% ( 0.05) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.19) | 31.59% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( -0.22) | 67.99% ( 0.22) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.08) | 19.25% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.03% ( 0.14) | 50.97% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.67% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.91% |
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